Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

6-2006

Abstract

The French two-round system of presidential elections forces candidates to choose strategies designed to maximize their votes in two different, potentially conflicting strategic contexts: a first round contest between many candidates, and a second round between (typically) a left- and a right-oriented candidate. Following a constitutional change in 2000, furthermore, presidential elections are synchronized with legislative elections, more tightly linking presidential candidates to the policy platforms of the parties they represent. This article examines the consequences of policy positioning by presidential candidates, measuring, comparing and assessing positioning in the legislative elections and in the first and second presidential election rounds. The measures come from an expert survey taken in 2002, from content analysis of party manifestos and presidential speeches, and from the 2002 French National Election Survey. The findings provide hard empirical confirmation of two commonly perceived propositions: first, that Jospin's first-round loss resulted from strategic error in moving too close to the policy centre, and second, that Chirac's won an overwhelming second-round victory because he collected all of the voters from candidates eliminated in the first round.

Discipline

Eastern European Studies | Political Science

Publication

European Journal of Political Research

Volume

45

Issue

4

First Page

667

Last Page

697

ISSN

0304-4130

Identifier

10.1111/j.1475-6765.2006.00313.x

Publisher

Wiley

Copyright Owner and License

Publisher

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6765.2006.00313.x

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