Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

6-2013

Abstract

Automated and statistical methods for estimating latent political traits and classes from textual data hold great promise, because virtually every political act involves the production of text. Statistical models of natural language features, however, are heavily laden with unrealistic assumptions about the process that generates these data, including the stochastic process of text generation, the functional link between political variables and observed text, and the nature of the variables (and dimensions) on which observed text should be conditioned. While acknowledging statistical models of latent traits to be "wrong," political scientists nonetheless treat their results as sufficiently valid to be useful. In this article, we address the issue of substantive validity in the face of potential model failure, in the context of unsupervised scaling methods of latent traits. We critically examine one popular parametric measurement model of latent traits for text and then compare its results to systematic human judgments of the texts as a benchmark for validity.

Discipline

Models and Methods | Political Science

Research Areas

Political Science

Publication

Political Analysis

Volume

21

Issue

3

First Page

298

Last Page

313

ISSN

1047-1987

Identifier

10.1093/pan/mpt002

Publisher

Political Methodology Section

Copyright Owner and License

Authors

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpt002

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