The bullwhip effect and credit default swap market: A study based on firm-specific bullwhip effect measure
Publication Type
Journal Article
Publication Date
11-2022
Abstract
This paper explores the financial implications of the bullwhip effect in the credit default swap (CDS) market. Using firms' supply chain hierarchical positions to proxy for exposure to the bullwhip effect and CDS positions data, we find that positions further upstream within the supply chain network are associated with more CDS positions with economically significant magnitudes, suggesting that investors employ CDS contracts to hedge against the financial risk of underlying firms that are exposed to a greater bullwhip effect. The positive impact of the bullwhip effect on CDS positions is more pronounced for firms with greater information uncertainty. Our results hold after we control for sample selection bias, rule out an industry-level bullwhip effect, mitigate the effect of hedging demand for accounts payable and debt exposure, and remove the influence of risk pooling, exposure to productivity shocks, and the financial crisis. This study contributes to both the supply chain management and finance literature.
Keywords
Bullwhip effect, Credit default swap (CDS) positions, Supply chain hierarchy, Information uncertainty, The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC)
Discipline
Databases and Information Systems | Finance and Financial Management
Research Areas
Information Systems and Management
Publication
International Review of Financial Analysis
Volume
84
First Page
1
Last Page
13
ISSN
1057-5219
Identifier
10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102386
Publisher
Elsevier
Citation
HU, Nan; LIANG, Peng; LIU, Ling; and ZHU, Lu.
The bullwhip effect and credit default swap market: A study based on firm-specific bullwhip effect measure. (2022). International Review of Financial Analysis. 84, 1-13.
Available at: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/sis_research/8036
Copyright Owner and License
Authors
Additional URL
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102386