Publication Type
Journal Article
Version
acceptedVersion
Publication Date
9-2019
Abstract
Understanding and predicting cellular traffic at large-scale and fine-granularity is beneficial and valuable to mobile users, wireless carriers and city authorities. Predicting cellular traffic in modern metropolis is particularly challenging because of the tremendous temporal and spatial dynamics introduced by diverse user Internet behaviours and frequent user mobility citywide. In this paper, we characterize and investigate the root causes of such dynamics in cellular traffic through a big cellular usage dataset covering 1.5 million users and 5,929 cell towers in a major city of China. We reveal intensive spatiotemporal dependency even among distant cell towers, which is largely overlooked in previous works. To explicitly characterize and effectively model the spatio-temporal dependency of urban cellular traffic, we propose a novel decomposition of in-cell and inter-cell data traffic, and apply a graph-based deep learning approach to accurate cellular traffic prediction. Experimental results demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art time-series based approaches and we also show through an example study how the decomposition of cellular traffic can be used for event inference.
Keywords
Cellular networks, Internet, Mobile handsets, Monitoring, Poles and towers, Predictive models, Urban areas
Discipline
Software Engineering
Research Areas
Software and Cyber-Physical Systems
Publication
IEEE Transactions on Mobile Computing
Volume
18
Issue
9
First Page
2190
Last Page
2202
ISSN
1536-1233
Identifier
10.1109/TMC.2018.2870135
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Citation
WANG, Xu; ZHOU, Zimu; XIAO, Fu; XING, Kai; YANG, Zheng; LIU, Yunhao; and PENG, Chunyi.
Spatio-temporal analysis and prediction of cellular traffic in metropolis. (2019). IEEE Transactions on Mobile Computing. 18, (9), 2190-2202.
Available at: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/sis_research/4532
Copyright Owner and License
Authors
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International License.
Additional URL
https://doi.org/10.1109/TMC.2018.2870135