US Presidential election 2012 prediction using census corrected Twitter model

Author

Junyu CHOY
Michelle L. F. CHEONG, Singapore Management UniversityFollow
Nang Laik MA, Singapore Management UniversityFollow
Ping Shung KOO

Publication Type

Report

Version

acceptedVersion

Publication Date

11-2012

Abstract

US Presidential Election 2012 has been a very tight race between the two key candidates. Therewere intense battle between the two key candidates. The election reflects the sentiment of theelectorate towards the achievements of the incumbent President Obama. The campaign lastedseveral months and the effects can be felt in the internet and twitter. The presidential debatesinjected new vigor in the challenger's campaign and successfully captured the electorate of severalstates posing a threat to the incumbent's position. Much of the sentiment in the election has beencaptured in the online discussions. In this paper, we will be using the original model described inChoy et. al. (2011) using twitter data to forecast the next US president.

Discipline

Social Influence and Political Communication | Social Media

Research Areas

Intelligent Systems and Optimization

First Page

1

Last Page

12

Citation

CHOY, Junyu; CHEONG, Michelle L. F.; MA, Nang Laik; and KOO, Ping Shung. US Presidential election 2012 prediction using census corrected Twitter model. (2012). 1-12.
Available at: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/sis_research/4319

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International License.

Comments

Unpublished Reports

Additional URL

https://arxiv.org/vc/arxiv/papers/1211/1211.0938v1.pdf