Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

9-2018

Abstract

Highlights•Without carbon regulations, CO2 emissions and water use are highly affected by fuel prices.•Carbon regulations reduce both CO2 emissions and water use.•Without incentives, carbon capture is not competitive with cheap natural gas and renewables.•A stringent constraint on water withdrawal lowers the fleet share of once-through cooling.AbstractThis study evaluates transition pathways in electricity generation and their future water impacts. Scenarios that do or do not comply with the carbon pollution standards – based on the U.S. New Source Performance Standards and Clean Power Plan – are evaluated. Using the Electric Reliability Council of Texas region as an illustration, the scenarios with carbon regulations are shown to have lower CO2 emissions and water use from the power sectorthan the continuation of the status quo with more electricity generation from coal than natural gas. The benefits are due to increases in electricity generation from renewable sources and natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) plants plus retirements of existing coal-fired plants, which depend on natural gas and CO2 allowance prices. When CO2 is captured and sold for enhanced oil recovery with a price higher than $15 per short ton, water consumption is elevated because of more electricity generation from existing NGCC plants retrofitted with carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology. A stringent constraint on water withdrawalsdecreases electricity generation from existing power plants with once-through cooling, but increases overall water consumption because of an elevated share of plants with wet recirculating cooling systems in the fleet.

Keywords

Capacity expansion, Carbon pollution standards, Low-carbon electric power generation, Water consumption, Water withdrawal, Environmental sustainability, Policy analytics

Discipline

Databases and Information Systems

Research Areas

Information Systems and Management

Publication

Energy Policy

Volume

120

First Page

714

Last Page

733

ISSN

0301-4215

Identifier

10.1016/j.enpol.2018.05.067

Publisher

Elsevier

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.05.067

Share

COinS