Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

9-2022

Abstract

A higher frequency of positive overnight returns followed by negative trading day reversals during a month suggests a more intense daily tug of war between opposing investor clienteles, who are likely composed of noise traders overnight and arbitrageurs during the day. We show that a more intense daily tug of war predicts higher future returns in the cross section. Additional tests support the conclusion that, in a more intense tug of war, daytime arbitrageurs are more likely to discount the possibility that positive news arrives overnight and thus overcorrect the persistent upward overnight price pressure.

Keywords

Arbitrageurs, daytime reversal, heterogeneous investors, overnight return, retail traders

Discipline

Finance | Finance and Financial Management

Publication

Journal of Financial Economics

Volume

145

Issue

3

First Page

850

Last Page

875

ISSN

0304-405X

Identifier

10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.09.019

Publisher

Elsevier

Copyright Owner and License

Authors

External URL

https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85118580218

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.09.019

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