Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

submittedVersion

Publication Date

9-2020

Abstract

Improving airport collaborative decision making is at the heart of airport operations centers (APOCs) recently established in several major European airports. In this paper, we describe a project commissioned by Eurocontrol, the organization in charge of the safety and seamless flow of European air traffic. The project’s goal was to examine the opportunities offered by the colocation and real-time data sharing in the APOC at London’s Heathrow airport, arguably the most advanced of its type in Europe. We developed and implemented a pilot study of a real-time data-sharing and collaborative decision-making process, selected to improve the efficiency of Heathrow’s operations. In this paper, we describe the process of how we chose the subject of the pilot, namely the improvement of transfer-passenger flows through the airport, and how we helped Heathrow move from its existing legacy system for managing passenger flows to an advanced machine learning–based approach using real-time inputs. The system, which is now in operation at Heathrow, can predict which passengers are likely to miss their connecting flights, reducing the likelihood that departures will incur delays while waiting for delayed passengers. This can be done by off-loading passengers in advance, by expediting passengers through the airport, or by modifying the departure times of aircraft in advance. By aggregating estimated passenger arrival time at various points throughout the airport, the system also improves passenger experiences at the immigration and security desks by enabling modifications to staffing levels in advance of expected surges in arrivals. The nine-stage framework we present here can support the development and implementation of other real-time, data-driven systems. To the best of our knowledge, the proposed system is the first to use machine learning to model passenger flows in an airport.

Keywords

Data-driven prediction, collaborative decision making, machine learning, airport performance

Discipline

Business Administration, Management, and Operations | Databases and Information Systems | Operations and Supply Chain Management

Research Areas

Operations Management

Publication

Informs Journal on Applied Analytics

Volume

50

Issue

5

First Page

269

Last Page

341

ISSN

2644-0865

Identifier

10.1287/inte.2020.1044

Publisher

Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS)

Embargo Period

8-25-2021

External URL

https://doi.org/10.1287/inte.2020.1044

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