Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

submittedVersion

Publication Date

11-2020

Abstract

Using NYSE short-sale order data, we investigate whether short sellers' informational advantage is related to firm earnings and analyst-related events. With a novel decomposition method, we find that while these fundamental event days constitute only 12% of sample days, they account for over 24% of the overall underperformance of heavily shorted stocks. Importantly, short sellers use both public news and private information to anticipate news regarding earnings and analysts. Shorting's predictive ability remains significant after controlling for information in analyst actions and displays no reversal patterns, indicating that short sellers know more than analysts, and the nature of their information is long term.

Keywords

short selling, firm fundamentals news, private information, return decomposition, analysts

Discipline

Finance and Financial Management | Portfolio and Security Analysis

Research Areas

Finance

Publication

Review of Finance

Volume

24

Issue

6

First Page

1203

Last Page

1235

ISSN

1572-3097

Identifier

10.1093/rof/rfaa008

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Embargo Period

5-10-2021

Copyright Owner and License

Authors

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfaa008

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