Publication Type
Journal Article
Version
Postprint
Publication Date
12-2013
Abstract
In this paper, we first document evidence of underreaction to management forecast news. We then hypothesize that the credibility of the forecast influences the magnitude of this underreaction. Relying on evidence that more credible forecasts are associated with a larger reaction in the short window around the management forecasts and a smaller post-management forecast drift in returns, we show that the magnitude of the underreaction is smaller for firms that provide more credible forecasts. Our paper contributes to the literature by providing out-of-sample evidence of the drift in returns documented in the post-earnings-announcement drift literature, with the credibility of the news being one explanation for the phenomenon.
Keywords
Market efficiency, Credibility, Voluntary disclosure
Discipline
Accounting | Corporate Finance
Research Areas
Financial Performance Analysis
Publication
Review of Accounting Studies
Volume
18
Issue
4
First Page
956
Last Page
986
ISSN
1380-6653
Identifier
10.1007/s11142-012-9217-4
Publisher
Springer
Citation
NG, Jeffrey; Tuna, Irem; and Verdi, Rodrigo.
Management Forecast Credibility and Underreaction to News. (2013). Review of Accounting Studies. 18, (4), 956-986.
Available at: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soa_research/951
Creative Commons License
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