Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

submittedVersion

Publication Date

1-2025

Abstract

Product market advertising, while containing little new information, triggers spikes in investor attention. Using weekly advertising data, we find that sell-side analysts issue optimistic earnings forecasts in response to heavier advertising in the prior week. This effect is not driven by confounding earnings or product news. It is more pronounced for experienced analysts and analysts affiliated with brokerages relying solely on trading revenues. The optimistic forecast bias intensifies the impact of advertising on investor trades, especially on retail buying, of the underlying stock during the following week. Overall, analysts appear to issue optimistic forecasts to exploit retail investor attention spikes induced by advertising.

Keywords

Investor Attention, Advertising, Analyst Forecasts, Earnings Forecast Optimism

Discipline

Accounting

Research Areas

Corporate Reporting and Disclosure

Areas of Excellence

Digital transformation

Publication

Contemporary Accounting Research

First Page

1

Last Page

51

ISSN

0823-9150

Identifier

10.2139/ssrn.4559548

Publisher

Wiley

Embargo Period

12-2-2025

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4559548

Included in

Accounting Commons

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