Publication Type
Journal Article
Version
publishedVersion
Publication Date
7-2023
Abstract
We investigate how firms' use of derivatives impacts voluntary disclosure and offer four main findings. First, we find that when firms begin using derivative instruments, they increase the frequency of management earnings forecasts. Second, using path analysis, we find a direct link between derivative usage and forecast frequency, as well as an indirect link through reduced earnings volatility. Third, we find that CEOs with more pronounced career concerns increase forecast frequency only when derivatives make earnings easier to forecast and find no evidence that investor demand drives the decision to provide a forecast. These results suggest that the primary mechanism for the association between derivative usage and forecast frequency is a reduction in the manager's costs of providing the forecasts. Finally, we find that the majority of derivative-induced forecasts are uninformative to capital market participants, especially after FAS 161 provided the necessary underlying data to understand how firms use derivatives. Overall, we provide the first empirical evidence that firms that use derivatives issue more management forecasts, but we also find that these incremental forecasts are largely uninformative and appear driven by managerial career concerns.
Keywords
derivatives, voluntary disclosure, management earnings forecasts, path analysis, earnings volatility, career concerns, investor demand, FAS 161, empirical evidence, uninformative forecasts, managerial career concerns
Discipline
Accounting
Research Areas
Corporate Reporting and Disclosure
Publication
Contemporary Accounting Research
Volume
40
Issue
4
First Page
2409
Last Page
2445
ISSN
0823-9150
Identifier
10.1111/1911-3846.12883
Publisher
Wiley
Citation
CAMPBELL, John L.; CAO, Sean Shun; CHANG, Hye Sun; and CHIOREAN, Raluca.
The implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts. (2023). Contemporary Accounting Research. 40, (4), 2409-2445.
Available at: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soa_research/2030
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International License.
Additional URL
https://doi.org/10.1111/1911-3846.12883