Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

7-2023

Abstract

We investigate how firms' use of derivatives impacts voluntary disclosure and offer four main findings. First, we find that when firms begin using derivative instruments, they increase the frequency of management earnings forecasts. Second, using path analysis, we find a direct link between derivative usage and forecast frequency, as well as an indirect link through reduced earnings volatility. Third, we find that CEOs with more pronounced career concerns increase forecast frequency only when derivatives make earnings easier to forecast and find no evidence that investor demand drives the decision to provide a forecast. These results suggest that the primary mechanism for the association between derivative usage and forecast frequency is a reduction in the manager's costs of providing the forecasts. Finally, we find that the majority of derivative-induced forecasts are uninformative to capital market participants, especially after FAS 161 provided the necessary underlying data to understand how firms use derivatives. Overall, we provide the first empirical evidence that firms that use derivatives issue more management forecasts, but we also find that these incremental forecasts are largely uninformative and appear driven by managerial career concerns.

Keywords

derivatives, voluntary disclosure, management earnings forecasts, path analysis, earnings volatility, career concerns, investor demand, FAS 161, empirical evidence, uninformative forecasts, managerial career concerns

Discipline

Accounting

Research Areas

Corporate Reporting and Disclosure

Publication

Contemporary Accounting Research

Volume

40

Issue

4

First Page

2409

Last Page

2445

ISSN

0823-9150

Identifier

10.1111/1911-3846.12883

Publisher

Wiley

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.1111/1911-3846.12883

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Accounting Commons

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