Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

acceptedVersion

Publication Date

4-2010

Abstract

Systematic empirical research has yet to explain how national parties join political groups in the European Parliament. This article first demonstrates, using original empirical measures from expert surveys of party positions, that EP party groups consist of national parties sharing similar policy positions. Secondly, using Bayesian/MCMC methods, the paper estimates the policy determinants of group affiliation using a (conditional) multinomial logit model to explain that party group choice is largely driven by policy congruence. Finally, predictions from the model identify national parties not in their ideally congruent EP groups. The findings suggest that the organization of and switching between EP groups is driven mainly by a concern to minimize policy incongruence between national and transnational levels.

Keywords

Party Competition, Policy Positions, European Parliament, Expert Surveys, Party Switching, Applied Bayesian statistics

Discipline

Eastern European Studies | Political Science

Research Areas

Political Science

Publication

British Journal of Political Science

Volume

40

Issue

2

First Page

377

Last Page

398

ISSN

0007-1234

Identifier

10.1017/S0007123409990469

Publisher

Cambridge University Press

Copyright Owner and License

Authors

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123409990469

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