Need Singapore Fear Floating? A DSGE-VAR Approach

Author

Hwee Kwan Chow, Singapore Management UniversityFollow
Paul D. McNelis

Publication Type

Working Paper

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

12-2010

Abstract

This paper uses a DSGE-VAR model to examine the managed exchange-rate system at work in Singapore and asks if the country has any reason to fear floating the exchange rate with a Taylor rule inflation-targeting mechanism that uses the short term interest rate instead of the exchange rate as the benchmark monetary policy instrument. Our simulation results show that the use of a more flexible exchange rate system will reduce volatility in inflation and investment but consumption volatility will increase. Overall, there are neither signi…cant welfare gains or losses in the regime shift. Given the highly open and trade dependent nature of the Singapore economy where the policy preference is for exchange rate stability, there is no impetus to abandon the present monetary regime.

Discipline

Asian Studies | Econometrics | Finance

Research Areas

Econometrics

Citation

Chow, Hwee Kwan and McNelis, Paul D.. Need Singapore Fear Floating? A DSGE-VAR Approach. (2010).
Available at: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/1250

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International License.