Publication Type

Presentation

Version

submittedVersion

Publication Date

8-2013

Abstract

By studying a panel dataset of distributed denial of service attack across 240 countriesover 5 years, we find that enforcing the Convention on Cybercrime had increasedthe intensity of attack by 43 to 52 percent. It did not significantly reducethe chance for a country to be selected for the attack. We conducted a batteryof identification and falsification tests to show that such increased attack intensityarose because of failure in marginal deterrence, instead of other theories such asbrutalization, stigmatization, or defiance, or general forms of endogeneity. We showthat raising the standard of proof of conviction is one way to facilitate marginaldeterrence, but it has the undesirable effect of raising the offense rate. We discussother possible solutions.

Keywords

Marginal deterrence, Cyber attacks, Convention of Cybercrime

Discipline

Law Enforcement and Corrections

Research Areas

Information Systems and Management

Publication

Workshop on Analytics for Business, Consumer and Social Insights (BCSI 2013). Singapore, August 2013.

Publisher

Wiley: 24 months

City or Country

Singapore

Comments

Best Faculty Research Paper Award

Additional URL

http://home.ust.hk/~davcook/marginal deterrence.pdf

Share

COinS