Publication Type

Journal Article

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

10-2008

Abstract

The current environment of information technology can be a complex place for analysts and firms to navigate, especially when making decisions about new product development, technology investment, and technology planning. Many industry analysts recognize that it is difficult, if not impossible, to accurately predict future technological advances. However, successful firms need to understand the nature of technological change and evolution in order to accurately forecast and take advantage of investment and market opportunities. For example, although RFID has been in the news for the past decade as the potential distribution and retail "killer technology", uncertainties about its future technical capabilities, economics, standards, and potential social issues make it a wildcard for many potential adopting firms.a Despite the need to make sense of the complexities of the technology landscape, there is a lack of useful analytical tools. IT industry experts recognize this problem.

Keywords

Dynamic natures, Ecosystem modeling, Industry analysts, Market opportunities, Strategic decisions, Technological changes, Technological evolution

Discipline

Computer Sciences | Management Information Systems

Research Areas

Information Systems and Management

Publication

Communications of the ACM

Volume

51

Issue

10

First Page

117

Last Page

122

ISSN

0001-0782

Identifier

10.1145/1400181.1400207

Publisher

ACM

Copyright Owner and License

Publisher

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.1145/1400181.1400207

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