Publication Type

Working Paper

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

12-2003

Abstract

Motivated by striking findings in recent US studies on return enhancing role in financial signals, we examine in the context of Asian stock markets if we can improve one- and two-year returns of high and low book-to-market (BTM) portfolios by retaining in the portfolios only the stocks whose current accounting/financial information indicates strong financial performance in the prior year. We find that doing so can substantially improve the future returns of such portfolios in all markets except Malaysia. We also find that a zero-investment winner-loser strategy on high BTM stocks (a strategy of longing the value stocks with strong financial signals and simultaneously shorting the value stocks with weak financial signals) generates average returns ranging from 5% (Taiwan) to 20% (Korea) with 16% (Singapore) being the median, whereas the zero-investment strategy on low BTM stocks generates average returns ranging from 7% (Korea) to 25% (Taiwan) with 17% (Thailand) being the median. These findings suggest, among other things, that current (hence, outdated) accounting/financial information can contain substantial pricing information on the future returns of both value and glamour stocks also in Asian markets.

Keywords

Asian stock markets, Firm-size effect, Book-to-market (BTM) effect, High BTM and low BTM portfolios, Glamour and value stocks, Fundamental analysis, Financial signals

Discipline

Finance

Research Areas

Finance

Identifier

10.2139/ssrn.499663

Publisher

SSRN

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.499663

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