Information-Time Option Pricing: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Publication Type

Journal Article

Publication Date

5-1998

Abstract

With a stochastic time change from calendar-time to information-time, we derive a parsimonious option pricing formula with stochastic volatility as a risk-neutral Poisson sum of Merton's (1973) prices over the option's information-time maturity domain. The formula contains two unobservable parameters, information arrival intensity and information-time asset volatility, with stochastic volatility induced by random information arrival. When the information arrival rate intensifies, the option price increases and vice-versa. We test the formula in pricing, hedging, and excess profits capture empirically using currency and the S&P 500 futures options transaction data

Keywords

Information-time, Information arrival speed, Option pricing, Stochastic time change, Stochastic volatility

Discipline

Business | Finance and Financial Management

Research Areas

Finance

Publication

Journal of Financial Economics

Volume

48

Issue

2

First Page

211

Last Page

242

ISSN

0304-405X

Identifier

10.1016/s0304-405x(98)00009-9

Publisher

Elsevier

Additional URL

https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-405x(98)00009-9

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