Publication Type

Report

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

6-2023

Abstract

The 15 participants in the June Livingston Survey predict higher output growth for the first half of 2023 than they predicted in the December 2022 survey. The forecasters, who are surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia twice a year, now project that the economy’s output (real GDP) will grow at an annual rate of 1.1 percent during the first half of 2023. They expect weaker conditions in the second half of 2023, when growth is expected to be at an annual rate of -0.7 percent. Both projections represent upward revisions from those of the December 2022 survey. Growth is expected to average an annual rate of 1.0 percent in the first half of 2024.

Keywords

Economic forecasting, GDP growth, real GDP

Discipline

Finance and Financial Management | Growth and Development

Research Areas

Finance

First Page

1

Last Page

8

Publisher

Federal Reserve of Philadelphia

City or Country

Philadelphia, PA

Embargo Period

6-18-2023

Copyright Owner and License

Publisher

Additional URL

https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/frbp/assets/surveys-and-data/livingston-survey/2023/livjun23.pdf

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