Assessing the odds of a US recession

Author

Thomas LAM, Singapore Management UniversityFollow
David FERNANDEZ, Singapore Management UniversityFollow

Publication Type

News Article

Version

publishedVersion

Publication Date

2-2023

Abstract

In this commentary, SMU Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (SKBI) Principal Researcher Thomas Lam and SKBI Director SMU Professor of Finance (Practice) Dave Fernandez offer their perspectives on the current multifaceted and highly charged US recession debate. While America is currently not in a downturn, the near-term odds of one have edged up, according to models based on key monthly and weekly indicators.

Keywords

Recession, United States, economic indicators, monthly recession odds model

Discipline

Finance | Finance and Financial Management | Growth and Development

Research Areas

Finance

Publication

Business Times (Singapore)

First Page

20

Last Page

20

ISSN

1733-8179

Publisher

Singapore Press Holdings

Embargo Period

2-15-2023

Citation

LAM, Thomas and FERNANDEZ, David. Assessing the odds of a US recession. (2023). Business Times (Singapore). 20-20.
Available at: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/skbi/22

Copyright Owner and License

Publisher

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International License.