We analyze optimality properties of maximum likelihood (ML) and other estimators when the problem does not necessarily fall within the locally asymptotically normal (LAN) class, therefore covering cases that are excluded from conventional LAN theory such as unit root nonstationary time series. The classical Hajek-Le Cam optimality theory is adapted to cover this situation. We show that the expectation of certain monotone "bowl-shaped" functions of the squared estimation error are minimized by the ML estimator in locally asymptotically quadratic situations, which often occur in nonstationary time series analysis when the LAN property fails. Moreover, we demonstrate a direct connection between the (Bayesian property of) asymptotic normality of the posterior and the classical optimality properties of ML estimators. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Bayesian asymptotics, Asymptotic normality, Local asymptotic normality, Locally asymptotic quadratic, Optimality property of MLE, Weak convergence
Journal of Econometrics
PLOBERGER, Werner and PHILLIPS, Peter C. B..
Optimal Estimation under Nonstandard Conditions. (2012). Journal of Econometrics. 169, (2), 258-265. Research Collection School Of Economics.
Available at: http://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/1824
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