Title

Corruption, Delays and the Pattern of Trade

Publication Type

Presentation

Publication Date

12-2009

Abstract

We argue that corruption deters international trade by causing delays in exporting and importing, both at customs and in other required administrative procedures. We study three manifestations of corruption as a barrier to trade. The corruption effect is both signicant and economically sizeable. We first show the negative relationship between the exporters and importers levels of corruption and trade volumes at the country level in a gravity framework. This country-level effect implies that a standard deviation increase in the exporters corruption level causes a 27% drop in exports. We then show that corruption indeed operates through delays: we establish that this effect stronger in sectors in which goods are more time-sensitive. The magnitude of this interaction effect is large: a standard deviation increase in the exporters corruption level causes a decrease in exports ranging from 7% in the least time-sensitive sector to 42% in the most time-sensitive sector. Finally, we find that corruption also decreases more the probability of positive trade in sectors in which goods are more time-sensitive. We use unpredictability of sales as our measure of time-sensitivity. Our results are robust both to controlling for a variety of alternative explanations and to instrumenting corruption to alleviate concerns of endogeneity.

Keywords

Corruption, Pattern of Trade, Time-Sensitivity, Gravity, Bilateral Trade Flows

Discipline

International Economics

Research Areas

Econometrics

Publication

Australasian Conference on Public Choice at Deakin University

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.

Additional URL

http://www.deakin.edu.au/buslaw/aef/publicchoice2009/papers/corruptiondelaystrade.pdf

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