Publication Type

Journal Article

Publication Date

7-2016

Abstract

On-line portfolio selection has been attracting increasing interests from artificial intelligence community in recent decades. Mean reversion, as one most frequent pattern in financial markets, plays an important role in some state-of-the-art strategies. Though successful in certain datasets, existing mean reversion strategies do not fully consider noises and outliers in the data, leading to estimation error and thus non-optimal portfolios, which results in poor performance in practice. To overcome the limitation, we propose to exploit the reversion phenomenon by robust L1-median estimator, and design a novel on-line portfolio selection strategy named "Robust Median Reversion" (RMR), which makes optimal portfolios based on the improved reversion estimation. Empirical results on various real markets show that RMR can overcome the drawbacks of existing mean reversion algorithms and achieve significantly better results. Finally, RMR runs in linear time, and thus is suitable for large-scale trading applications.

Keywords

Portfolios, Robustness, Investment, Mathematical model, Estimation, Algorithm design and analysis, Data mining, L1-median, Portfolio selection, online learning, mean reversion, robust median reversion

Discipline

Computer Sciences | Databases and Information Systems | Finance and Financial Management

Research Areas

Data Management and Analytics

Publication

IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering

Volume

28

Issue

9

First Page

2480

Last Page

2493

ISSN

1041-4347

Identifier

10.1109/TKDE.2016.2563433

Publisher

Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.

Additional URL

http://doi.org/10.1109/TKDE.2016.2563433

Share

COinS