Title

We did the right thing: an intervention analysis approach to modeling intervened SARS propagation in Singapore.

Publication Type

Conference Proceeding Article

Publication Date

8-2004

Abstract

In this paper, we adopt the Intervention Analysis approach to model an intervened natural process, i.e., propagation of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in Singapore, which is affected not only by its own evolutionary history but also by the control measures taken. Using this model, the propagation trend of the epidemic and the effects of different control measures on the outcomes of this epidemic can be simulated and quantitatively analyzed. Based on the model, we have performed an evaluation and sensitivity analysis of the Singapore government's responses to this epidemic. Preliminary results have shown that the control measures taken are effective in controlling the outbreak.

Keywords

Biological model, Communicable disease, Disease transmission, Epidemic, Human, Infection control, Severe acute respiratory syndrome, Singapore

Discipline

Numerical Analysis and Scientific Computing

Research Areas

Data Management and Analytics

Publication

MEDINFO 2004: Proceedings of the 11th World Congress on Medical Informatics

Volume

107

First Page

1246

Last Page

1250

ISBN

9781586034443

Identifier

10.3233/978-1-60750-949-3-1246

Publisher

IOS Press

City or Country

Amsterdam

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