Title

Event Study Method for Validating Agent-based Trading Simulations

Publication Type

Conference Proceeding Article

Publication Date

9-2010

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce how one can validate an event-centric trading simulation platform that is built with multi-agent technology. The issue of validation is extremely important for agent-based simulations, but unfortunately, so far there is no one universal method that would work in all domains. The primary contribution of this paper is a novel combination of event-centric simulation design and event study approach for market dynamics generation and validation. In our event-centric design, the simulation is progressed by announcing news events that affect market prices. Upon receiving these events, event-aware software agents would adjust their views on the market and act accordingly. Their actions would be based on their roles and also their private information, and collectively the market dynamics will be shaped. The generated market dynamics can then be validated by a variant of the event study approach. We demonstrate how the methodology works with several numerical experiments and conclude by highlighting the practical significance of such simulation platform.

Keywords

analytical models, biological system modeling, computational modeling, economics, humans, numerical models, security

Discipline

Artificial Intelligence and Robotics | Business | Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering

Research Areas

Intelligent Systems and Decision Analytics

Publication

IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence-Intelligent Agent Technology WI-IAT 2010: Toronto, August 31 - September 3

First Page

465

Last Page

469

ISBN

9781424484829

Identifier

10.1109/WI-IAT.2010.212

Publisher

IEEE Computer Society

City or Country

Los Alamitos, CA

Additional URL

http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/WI-IAT.2010.212