Title

Price Discovery in Informationally-Linked Markets: A Microstructure Analysis of Nikkei 225 Futures

Publication Type

Conference Paper

Publication Date

10-2004

Abstract

As the process of globalization of trading and competition among exchanges for order flow accelerates, it is important to determine the information revelation and price discovery in informationally-linked markets. This paper examines the intradaily price discovery process of Nikkei 225 index in three competing markets -- the domestic spot market (Tokyo Stock Exchange), the domestic futures market (Osaka Securities Exchange), and the foreign futures market (Singapore Exchange). The evidence suggests that the futures market contributes more than 75% to price discovery, with the Osaka Securities Exchange contributing more than 57% of the futures markets and 43% of total information share. Surprisingly, the Singapore Exchange has a contribution of 43% of the futures and 33% of the total price discovery, which far exceed its share of trading volume. This suggests that a small “satellite” market can co-exist with a large “home” market and play a significant role in the price discovery process by being a niche player.

Keywords

Nikkei 225 Index, Futures, Price Discovery, Market Microstructure, Common Factor Components Method

Discipline

Finance and Financial Management | Portfolio and Security Analysis

Research Areas

Finance

Publication

Financial Management Association International Conference, New Orleans, October 2004

City or Country

New Orleans, LA, USA

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